Scenario calculator · Vienna & Austria

What does waiting cost?

Buy, rent out or sell – today versus the projected future. Pick a place and adjust the assumptions – the geopolitical situation flows in automatically. All starting values are researched reference values and stay in your browser.

Place (district or city)Property type

Features (optional)

Outdoor space Parking space/garage FloorLift in the building

Premiums are reference values from published market analyses (outdoor-space premiums, Vienna parking prices, lift effect in older buildings) – the actual impact depends on the property, floor and micro-location.

Horizon (years) Living area (m²) Asking price (€/m²) Asking rent (€/m²/month)

Automatic forecast Price growth comes from the Wohni model: an evidence-based base per location plus six externally weighted drivers (migration, climate, rates, supply, energy, geopolitical uncertainty), continuously adjusted to the news. All five geopolitical situations (de-escalation through the EBA/ECB stress test) flow automatically into ONE result, weighted by the current risk level (GPR index) – you don't have to pick a scenario. Every maximum effect is backed by ECB, OeNB and academic sources. The calculation path is shown transparently in the result and in the chart below.

Pick a place – the result appears instantly.

One picture, every assumption

World events → Vienna square metres

Pick a place – the chart appears instantly.

Method modelled on ECB/EBA practice: wars cannot be predicted, but their transmission channels to prices can – migration, energy and construction costs, interest rates, confidence. The GPR index measures the current risk level from newspaper text; scenarios only shift the weights of the evidenced channels. A "what if", not a prediction.

Three viewpoints

The calculator shows the same future from a buyer's, landlord's and seller's perspective: the extra cost of waiting, the rent path with yield, appreciation after simplified ImmoESt.

Where the numbers come from

Price history: OeNB/TU Wien index live via the ECB data portal. Geopolitics: GPR index (Caldara/Iacoviello). Effect sizes: ECB (rate channel −5%/100 bp), migration research (+1–2% per +1% population), EBA stress test (−13%/3y). Plus the price scenarios 2030 per district.

Legal frame

Simplified model without closing costs, financing, tax details or exemptions. No investment, tax or legal advice.